1.Futurist Ian Pearson sees a convergence between clever computers and biotechnology, the coming of implanted chips and enhanced mental ability.
Both machines and humans will have access to a global net with instant access to the world's knowledge. But Pearson also fears that it could divide the world into two classes – those with access to this knowledge and those without access. Clearly, there is a risk in losing control of things that think. Pearson expects machines to be as smart as humans by 2015. After that, computers will continue to get smarter.
The trouble with the digital revolution, says MIT Media Lab director Neil Gershenfeld in his book When Things Start to Think, is that computers may have speeded up many of the processes of modem life, but they still remain relatively difficult to use. "Most computers are nearly blind, deaf and dumb," says Gershenfeld. The speed of the computer is increasingly much less of a concern than:
1. the difficulty in telling it what you want it to do, or
2. in understanding what it has done, or
3. in using it where you want to go, rather than where it can go.
What's needed now, he concludes, is digital evolution. The real challenge is how to create systems with many parts that can work together and change, combining the physical world with the digital world.
If we can manage the development so that they (thinking machines) stay our friends, in just a few years we'll see progress in every area of life that makes the past centuries look like all of us have been asleep.
Evolution is a result of interaction, says Gershenfeld. "And information technology is greatly changing how we interact. Therefore it's not crazy to think about the influence of this on evolution."
不要把翻译器翻译的东西给我,我要的是通顺的详细的翻译。谢谢!!