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博弈逻辑是博弈论和逻辑学相交叉而形成的一个崭新学科。博弈理论运用在许多领域,已经取得了显著成果。本文选取当前的时政问题农民群体性事件作为研究对象,用博弈逻辑的思想理论对其进行分析研究。
随着中国改革的不断推进,中国农民的生存状态相对恶化,政治机会相对开放,一些利益冲突问题逐渐凸显出来。导致中农民群体性事件在数量上不断增加,在范围上不断扩大,在引发原因上不断复杂,在解决难度上不断加大。但农民群体性事件并不是无规律可循,如果把农民群体性事件看成是农民和政府的冲突,我们就可以通过谈判的方法把农民群体性事件控制在有限冲突(有冲突但没有发展为暴力事件)的范围之内。
本文以农民群体性事件为对象,用博弈逻辑理论作为工具,研究一些基础性博弈逻辑理论问题。农民在进行体制外集体行动时,表现出一些诸如农民内部个体理性与集体理性的冲突、农民与政府间个体理性与集体理性的困境、农民与政府双方可支付的信息不对称等问题。作者通过分析农民行动的逻辑,试图通过协调博弈的方法来对农民群体性事件作部分解决,在政府与农民间找到一个博弈的解。
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Game Logic is the logic of game theory and intersect to form a new discipline. Game theory applied in many areas, have achieved remarkable results. This paper selects the current affairs current events farmer groups as a research object, game logic, theoretical analysis and study.
With the continuous advance of China's reform, Chinese peasants living condition is relatively worse, relatively open political opportunity, a number of conflicts of interest increasingly prominent. Resulted in the farmer groups in the number of incidents increasing, growing in scope, the causes of the increasing complexity in, constantly increasing difficulty in solving. However, groups of farmers is not no rules to follow incidents, group incidents if the farmers as farmers and the government's conflict, we can negotiate ways to control the peasant group incidents of conflict in a limited (but not developed into a conflict violence) of the range.
In this paper, mass incidents targeting farmers with game logic theory as a tool to study some basic game logic of theoretical issues. Farmers carrying out collective action outside the system, the performance of some farmers, such as individual rationality and collective rationality, internal conflicts between farmers and the government of individual rationality and collective rationality of the plight of farmers and the government can pay for both the asymmetric information problems. On the logic of action by analyzing the farmers, trying to coordination game approach to incidents of groups of farmers as part of the settlement between the government and farmers to find a game solution.
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